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August 24th COVID-19: Cases Might be Peaking

by Calculated Risk on 8/24/2021 03:56:00 PM

The 7-day average cases was slightly higher two days ago. Hopefully new cases are peaking.
The 7-day average hospitalizations is the highest since February 5th.

The 7-day average deaths is the highest since March 20th.

The CDC is the source for all data.
According to the CDC, on Vaccinations. Total doses administered: 363,915,792, as of a week ago 357,894,995. Average doses last week: 0.86 million per day.

COVID Metrics
Today Yesterday Week
Percent fully
51.6% 51.5% 50.9% >=70.0%1
Fully Vaccinated
171.4 171.1 168.9 >=2321
New Cases
per Day3?
141,091 140,189 132,499 <=5,0002
Hospitalized3? 84,456 83,549 73,593 <=3,0002
Deaths per Day3? 775 756 652 <=502
1 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37 day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7 day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths

? Goal met.

IMPORTANT: For “herd immunity” most experts believe we need 70% to 85% of the total population fully vaccinated (or already had COVID).

KUDOS to the residents of the 7 states that have achieved 60% of total population fully vaccinated: Vermont at 67.5%, Massachusetts, Maine, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Maryland and New Jersey at 60.6%.

The following 17 states and D.C. have between 50% and 59.9% fully vaccinated: Washington at 59.5%, New Hampshire, New York State, New Mexico, Oregon, District of Columbia, Virginia, Colorado, Minnesota, California, Hawaii, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, Nebraska, Iowa, Illinois, and Michigan at 50.0%.

Next up (total population, fully vaccinated according to CDC) are South Dakota at 48.4%, Ohio at 47.9%, Kentucky at 47.7%, Kansas at 47.4%, Arizona at 47.2%, Nevada at 46.9%, Utah at 46.9%, and Alaska at 46.8%.

COVID-19 Positive Tests per DayClick on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7 day average (line) of positive tests reported.

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