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October 19th COVID-19: 37 Days till Thanksgiving; Need to Get Daily Cases Down Before Holidays

by Calculated Risk on 10/19/2021 06:17:00 PM

The CDC is the source for all data.
According to the CDC, on Vaccinations. Total doses administered: 408,797,942, as of a week ago 403,576,826, or 0.75 million doses per day.

COVID Metrics
Today Week
Percent fully Vaccinated 57.0% 56.5% >=70.0%1
Fully Vaccinated (millions) 189.3 187.7 >=2321
New Cases per Day3 75,571 89,957 <=5,0002
Hospitalized3 52,146 59,038 <=3,0002
Deaths per Day3 1,260 1,298 <=502
1 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37 day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7 day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths

? Goal met.

IMPORTANT: For “herd immunity” most experts believe we need 70% to 85% of the total population fully vaccinated (or already had COVID).

KUDOS to the residents of Vermont that have achieved 70% of total population fully vaccinated: Vermont at 70.6%.

KUDOS also to the residents of the 14 states and D.C. that have achieved 60% of total population fully vaccinated: Connecticut at 69.9%, Maine, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Maryland, New York, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Washington, Oregon, Virginia, District of Columbia, Colorado, and California at 60.4%.

The following 20 states have between 50% and 59.9% fully vaccinated: Pennsylvania at 59.6%, Minnesota, Hawaii, Delaware, Florida, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Kentucky, South Dakota, Texas, Arizona, Kansas, Nevada, Alaska, Utah, North Carolina and Ohio at 51.3%.

Next up (total population, fully vaccinated according to CDC) are Montana at 49.7%, Indiana at 49.3%, Missouri at 49.1%, Oklahoma at 49.1% and South Carolina at 49.1%.

COVID-19 Positive Tests per DayClick on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7 day average (line) of positive tests reported.

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